Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
East Falls Eviction Risk: Elevated , Philadelphia
Tract 42101020600 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 2,009 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 42101020600 covers part of the East Falls area of Philadelphia, PA, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,009. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,025
Renter share74.7%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$65,580
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
39
th percentile
Low
Within county
40
th percentile
Low
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 40.0198, -75.1828 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Falls scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,506 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How East Falls compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 37%Grade A
- 24%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 375Total filings over 4 yrs
- 17.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 30.2%Peak (2012)
- 96Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 60% over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 487Total filings 2020-21
- 6.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Falls. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Falls
75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10. The filing record is not thin: 375 evictions over 4 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 30.2% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 17.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Philadelphia County average of 6.6 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101020600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101020600?
Census tract 42101020600 in the East Falls neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101020600?
Median gross rent is $1,506/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101020600?
14.0% of residents in tract 42101020600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,009.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101020600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 4th, minority 65th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 42101020600 considered part of East Falls?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101020600 fall within East Falls (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101020600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 375 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101020600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.31% of renter households, peaking at 30.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101020600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101020600 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101020600 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101020600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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