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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,396 of 84,120 nationally

Southwest Schuylkill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Philadelphia

Tract 42101039100 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 3,248 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

In the Southwest Schuylkill neighborhood of Philadelphia, census tract 42101039100 scores 7.4/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 98% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $407 a month against an average household income of $24,963 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 85% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 46% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,103
Renter share85.0%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate51.9%
Median income$24,963

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Southwest Schuylkill
High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region

Centroid at 39.9333, -75.2132 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southwest Schuylkill scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
51.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$407 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5

How Southwest Schuylkill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southwest Schuylkill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.17.1This tracttract 039100Philadelphia: 5.55.5Philadelphiaparent cityCounty: 5.65.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 236Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 11.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.28×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 14 filings (2.15× baseline)2020-02-01: 12 filings (1.23× baseline)2020-03-01: 11 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.07× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (0.22× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.16× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (0.26× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.31× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (0.18× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.08× baseline)2021-06-01: 6 filings (0.51× baseline)2021-07-01: 3 filings (0.21× baseline)2021-08-01: 3 filings (0.21× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (0.22× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 3 filings (0.32× baseline)2021-12-01: 6 filings (0.77× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.31× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.21× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (0.18× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.05× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (0.15× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.07× baseline)2022-08-01: 5 filings (0.36× baseline)2022-09-01: 9 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-10-01: 6 filings (0.49× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (0.32× baseline)2022-12-01: 6 filings (0.77× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (0.46× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (0.31× baseline)2023-03-01: 14 filings (1.27× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (0.11× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (0.30× baseline)2023-06-01: 10 filings (0.85× baseline)2023-07-01: 5 filings (0.35× baseline)2023-08-01: 10 filings (0.71× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.08× baseline)2023-11-01: 7 filings (0.74× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2024-01-01: 7 filings (1.08× baseline)2024-02-01: 6 filings (0.62× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (0.27× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (0.16× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (0.23× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 10 filings (0.70× baseline)2024-08-01: 4 filings (0.29× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (0.22× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (0.16× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (0.21× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (0.31× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (0.31× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.05× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.07× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.16× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.11× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (0.26× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southwest Schuylkill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southwest Schuylkill

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Philadelphia County average of 6.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.28x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42101039100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101039100?

Census tract 42101039100 in the Southwest Schuylkill neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42101039100?

Median gross rent is $407/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42101039100?

51.9% of residents in tract 42101039100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,248.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42101039100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 79th, minority 100th, housing 17th.
Q5

Is tract 42101039100 considered part of Southwest Schuylkill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101039100 fall within Southwest Schuylkill (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 42101039100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.28× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 42101039100 compare to Philadelphia overall?

Tract 42101039100 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42101039100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia

Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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