Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Sayles Bleachery Eviction Risk: Moderate , Central Falls
Tract 44007011701 · Providence County, RI · pop 4,849 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
44007011701 is a census tract in the Sayles Bleachery area of Providence County, RI. It scores 4.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,849. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,926
Renter share34.7%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$82,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Central Falls and the region
Centroid at 41.9089, -71.4138 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sayles Bleachery scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Central Falls
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$975 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Central Falls
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Central Falls
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Central Falls
5.0
How Sayles Bleachery compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 33Total filings over 2 yrs
- 2.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.3%Peak (2015)
- 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 110Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sayles Bleachery. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.9%Food insecurity
- 12.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 29.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sayles Bleachery
Against Providence County at 43.2%, around a third of renters here are cost-burdened. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.8/10.
The filing record is not thin: 33 evictions over 2 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2015, when 2.3% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Pawtucket & Central Falls. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $82,813, annual rent is just 14%.
Average gross rent runs $975 a month. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007011701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007011701?
Census tract 44007011701 in the Sayles Bleachery neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007011701?
Median gross rent is $975/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007011701?
11.1% of residents in tract 44007011701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,849.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007011701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 74th, minority 32th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 44007011701 considered part of Sayles Bleachery?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007011701 fall within Sayles Bleachery (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007011701?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 33 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007011701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.31% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007011701 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007011701 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007011701 compare to Central Falls overall?
Tract 44007011701 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Central Falls at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Central Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007011701 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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