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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Ashley Downs Eviction Risk: Lower , Northlake

Tract 45007011201 · Anderson County, SC · pop 4,703 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 45007011201 covers part of the Ashley Downs area of Northlake, SC, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,703 residents. Severe burden reaches 49%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 3% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,902
Renter share8.1%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$108,071

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Ashley Downs
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Northlake
Very Low
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 51 tracts In Anderson County
Very Low
Within state
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#932 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Northlake and the region

Centroid at 34.5868, -82.6411 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ashley Downs scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Northlake
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.9
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,097 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northlake
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northlake
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northlake
3.8

How Ashley Downs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ashley Downs risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0112013.2Northlakeparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 42Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.2%Peak (2014)
  • 14Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 45007011201
Filings climbed 40% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ashley Downs

64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Anderson County average of 36.8%. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.

Average gross rent is $2,097, 102% above the Northlake average. The voucher gap is 121.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 3.7% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Anderson County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.

Food insecurity runs 8.1% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 42 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2014, when 5.2% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 45007011201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45007011201?

Census tract 45007011201 in the Ashley Downs neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45007011201?

Median gross rent is $2,097/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45007011201?

1.9% of residents in tract 45007011201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,703.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45007011201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 71th, minority 25th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 45007011201 considered part of Ashley Downs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45007011201 fall within Ashley Downs (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45007011201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 42 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45007011201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.03% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 45007011201 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 45007011201 compare to Northlake overall?

Tract 45007011201 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Northlake at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northlake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Northlake

Top eight tracts in Northlake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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