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Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Ashley Downs Eviction Risk: Lower , Northlake

Tract 45007011201 · Anderson County, SC · pop 4,703 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

In the Ashley Downs area of Northlake, census tract 45007011201 scores 5.4/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 52% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

64% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 49% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,097 a month while the average household earns $108,071 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 8% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 3% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,902
Renter share8.1%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$108,071

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Ashley Downs
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Northlake
Very Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 51 tracts In Anderson County
Very Low
Within state
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#1,257 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Northlake and the region

Centroid at 34.5868, -82.6411 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ashley Downs scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Northlake
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.9
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,097 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northlake
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northlake
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northlake
3.8

How Ashley Downs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ashley Downs risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.71.7This tracttract 011201Northlake: 2.02.0Northlakeparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 42Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.2%Peak (2014)
  • 14Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 450070112012010: 10 filings (8.40/100 renter HHs)2011: 9 filings (3.31/100 renter HHs)2012: 4 filings (1.47/100 renter HHs)2013: 5 filings (1.84/100 renter HHs)2014: 14 filings (5.15/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 40% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ashley Downs

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Northlake, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Anderson County average of 5.5 and in line with the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 42 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 4.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.2% of renter households in 2014.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 45007011201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45007011201?

Census tract 45007011201 in the Ashley Downs neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45007011201?

Median gross rent is $2,097/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45007011201?

1.9% of residents in tract 45007011201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,703.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45007011201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 71th, minority 25th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 45007011201 considered part of Ashley Downs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45007011201 fall within Ashley Downs (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45007011201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 42 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45007011201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.03% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 45007011201 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 45007011201 compare to Northlake overall?

Tract 45007011201 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Northlake at 2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northlake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Northlake

Top eight tracts in Northlake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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