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Neighborhood · Northlake, SC

Ashley Downs Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,703 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.7/10 · range 1.7–1.7

Ashley Downs is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Northlake with 1 census tract and a population of 4,703 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 64% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 49% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,097/month sits 102% higher than the Northlake citywide average ($1,038).

Risk score
1.7
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Ashley Downs vs Northlake How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
63.6% +199%
Northlake: 21.3%
Average gross rent
$2,097 +102%
Northlake: $1,038
Average HH income
$108,071 +36%
Northlake: $79,531
Poverty rate
1.9% -81%
Northlake: 10.1%
Renter share
8.1% -62%
Northlake: 21.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ashley Downs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.7–1.7

Why Ashley Downs scores 1.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Rent control risk
64% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
8% renter households · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Economic stress
1.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Ashley Downs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ashley Downs score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Ashley Downs: 1.71.7Ashley DownsNeighborhoodParent city: 2.02.0Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Ashley Downs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
45007011201 1.7 4,703 64% $2,097
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 12%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 71%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 25%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Ashley Downs

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 42Total filings (sum)
  • 4.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.2%Peak year (2014)
  • 5.15%Latest filed (2014)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ashley Downs

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Ashley Downs

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ashley Downs?

Ashley Downs scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ashley Downs compare to Northlake overall?

Ashley Downs scores 0.3 points lower than Northlake overall (2/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 21% citywide. Average rent: $2,097 vs $1,038.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ashley Downs?

Average gross rent in Ashley Downs is $2,097/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ashley Downs residents are renters?

8% of Ashley Downs households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Northlake). The neighborhood has 4,703 residents.
Q5

Is Ashley Downs a high social-vulnerability area?

Ashley Downs sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Ashley Downs for landlords?

Ashley Downs carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Northlake as a whole (2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Ashley Downs?

Ashley Downs has 4,805 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (89.2%), Hispanic / Latino (4.7%), Other / Multiracial (2.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ashley Downs

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Northlake

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ashley Downs.

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