Ashley Downs Eviction Risk: Lower

Cost burden runs 64% against 21.3% citywide, putting Ashley Downs 42.3% over its own city. Average gross rent is $2,097, 102% above the Northlake average of $1,038. The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 10/10.

The voucher gap is 121.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.8/10. SNAP participation is 3.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 42 evictions logged in this tract.

Food insecurity affects 8.1% of adults, 9.7 points below the national rate. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 5.2% of renter households.

Judgments average 1.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 8% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.