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Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Timbercrest Village at Tanner Plantation Eviction Risk: Lower , Goose Creek

Tract 45015020811 · Berkeley County, SC · pop 4,649 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 45015020811 sits in the Timbercrest Village at Tanner Plantation area of Goose Creek eviction risk, South Carolina eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,143 a month while the average household earns $50,905 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 40% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units2,070
Renter share72.0%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$50,905

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Timbercrest Village at Tanner Plantation
Very High
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Goose Creek
High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 48 tracts In Berkeley County
Elevated
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#818 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Goose Creek and the region

Centroid at 32.9607, -80.0114 · click any tract to drill in

Why Timbercrest Village at Tanner Plantation scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goose Creek
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,143 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goose Creek
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goose Creek
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goose Creek
6.9

How Timbercrest Village at Tanner Plantation compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Timbercrest Village at Tanner Plantation risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 020811Goose Creek: 2.42.4Goose Creekparent cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,847Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 70.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 85.8%Peak (2010)
  • 873Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 450150208112010: 1,070 filings (85.81/100 renter HHs)2011: 1,007 filings (71.47/100 renter HHs)2012: 989 filings (70.19/100 renter HHs)2013: 908 filings (64.44/100 renter HHs)2014: 873 filings (61.96/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Timbercrest Village at Tanner Plantation. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Timbercrest Village at Tanner Plantation

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goose Creek eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Berkeley County average of 5.5 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 45015020811

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45015020811?

Census tract 45015020811 in the Timbercrest Village at Tanner Plantation neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45015020811?

Median gross rent is $1,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45015020811?

13.4% of residents in tract 45015020811 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,649.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45015020811?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 98th, minority 76th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 45015020811 considered part of Timbercrest Village at Tanner Plantation?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45015020811 fall within Timbercrest Village at Tanner Plantation (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45015020811?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4,847 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45015020811 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 70.77% of renter households, peaking at 85.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 45015020811 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 45015020811 compare to Goose Creek overall?

Tract 45015020811 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Goose Creek at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goose Creek eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goose Creek

Top eight tracts in Goose Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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