Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Jasmine Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Garden City
Tract 45051051406 · Horry County, SC · pop 3,560 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 4/10, tract 45051051406 in the Jasmine Lake area of Garden City, SC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,560 residents. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Horry County average of 44.6%.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,089
Renter share17.5%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$41,691
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Garden City and the region
Centroid at 33.5913, -79.0184 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jasmine Lake scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Garden City
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,300 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garden City
1.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garden City
1.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garden City
2.1
How Jasmine Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 9%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 394Total filings over 5 yrs
- 20.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.3%Peak (2011)
- 82Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 46% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.9%Food insecurity
- 7.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 14.1%Frequent mental distress
- 41.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jasmine Lake
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $41,691, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.2/10.
Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 394 evictions over 5 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.9% against 15.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,300, 12% below the Garden City average. Filings peaked in 2011 at 23.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 20.4% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 45051051406
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45051051406?
Census tract 45051051406 in the Jasmine Lake neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45051051406?
Median gross rent is $1,300/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45051051406?
14.8% of residents in tract 45051051406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,560.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45051051406?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 24th, minority 9th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 45051051406 considered part of Jasmine Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45051051406 fall within Jasmine Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45051051406?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 394 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45051051406 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.35% of renter households, peaking at 23.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45051051406 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45051051406 compare to Garden City overall?
Tract 45051051406 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Garden City at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garden City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Garden City
Top eight tracts in Garden City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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