Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Mill Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cayce
Tract 45063020300 · Lexington County, SC · pop 3,980 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
In the Mill Village neighborhood of Cayce, census tract 45063020300 scores 6.3/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #15,279 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,263 a month against an average household income of $50,869 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 77% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units2,305
Renter share77.4%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate22.9%
Median income$50,869
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cayce and the region
Centroid at 33.9896, -81.0629 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mill Village scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cayce
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
22.9% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,263 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cayce
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cayce
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cayce
6.3
How Mill Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,190Total filings over 5 yrs
- 16.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.6%Peak (2010)
- 169Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mill Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.2%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.6%Food insecurity
- 11.4%SNAP enrollment
- 10.1%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 32.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mill Village
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cayce eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lexington County average of 5.3 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 45063020300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45063020300?
Census tract 45063020300 in the Mill Village neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45063020300?
Median gross rent is $1,263/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45063020300?
22.9% of residents in tract 45063020300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,980.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45063020300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 39th, minority 55th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 45063020300 considered part of Mill Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45063020300 fall within Mill Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45063020300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,190 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45063020300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.53% of renter households, peaking at 22.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45063020300 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45063020300 compare to Cayce overall?
Tract 45063020300 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Cayce at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cayce eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cayce
Top eight tracts in Cayce ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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