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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Emerald Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Andrews

Tract 45079010412 · Richland County, SC · pop 4,163 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

The Emerald Valley neighborhood of St. Andrews anchors census tract 45079010412, which lands at 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 79% of US census tracts.

66% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,092 a month against an average household income of $40,582 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 78% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 26% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units2,157
Renter share78.4%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate36.2%
Median income$40,582

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Emerald Valley
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In St. Andrews
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 98 tracts In Richland County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#86 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Andrews and the region

Centroid at 34.0383, -81.0826 · click any tract to drill in

Why Emerald Valley scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Andrews
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
36.2% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,092 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Andrews
1.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Andrews
1.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Andrews
1.6

How Emerald Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Emerald Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 010412St. Andrews: 2.72.7St. Andrewsparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,736Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 64.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 90.0%Peak (2014)
  • 1,026Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 450790104122010: 652 filings (49.58/100 renter HHs)2011: 545 filings (47.81/100 renter HHs)2012: 629 filings (55.18/100 renter HHs)2013: 884 filings (77.54/100 renter HHs)2014: 1,026 filings (90.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 57% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Emerald Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Emerald Valley

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Andrews eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Richland County average of 5.8 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,736 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 64.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 90.0% of renter households in 2014.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 45079010412

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45079010412?

Census tract 45079010412 in the Emerald Valley neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45079010412?

Median gross rent is $1,092/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45079010412?

36.2% of residents in tract 45079010412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,163.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45079010412?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 39th, minority 86th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 45079010412 considered part of Emerald Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45079010412 fall within Emerald Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45079010412?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,736 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45079010412 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 64.02% of renter households, peaking at 90.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 45079010412 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 45079010412 compare to St. Andrews overall?

Tract 45079010412 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Andrews at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Andrews eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Andrews

Top eight tracts in St. Andrews ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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