Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Mills Mill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Saxon
Tract 45083021700 · Spartanburg County, SC · pop 4,701 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 45083021700 sits in the Mills Mill area of Saxon, SC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.9/10. It is home to 4,701 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,636
Renter share57.6%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate45.8%
Median income$28,462
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Saxon and the region
Centroid at 34.9611, -81.9693 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mills Mill scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Saxon
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
45.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$976 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Saxon
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Saxon
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Saxon
9.2
How Mills Mill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 225Total filings over 1 yrs
- 34.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 34.2%Peak (2010)
- 225Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 33.0%Housing insecurity
- 25.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 47.7%Food insecurity
- 40.1%SNAP enrollment
- 23.7%Transit barriers
- 25.4%No health insurance
- 23.6%Frequent mental distress
- 48.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mills Mill
Against the Spartanburg County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.9 points. The poverty rate is 46%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.8/10. Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $28,462, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.4/10.
Disability prevalence runs 48.7% against 31.5% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against Spartanburg County at 42.3%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Court records carry 225 eviction filings across 1 observed years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 34.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 34.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #13,349 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 10/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the SC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 2.9 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 45083021700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45083021700?
Census tract 45083021700 in the Mills Mill neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45083021700?
Median gross rent is $976/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45083021700?
45.8% of residents in tract 45083021700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,701.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45083021700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 96th, minority 82th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 45083021700 considered part of Mills Mill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45083021700 fall within Mills Mill (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45083021700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 225 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 45083021700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.19% of renter households, peaking at 34.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45083021700 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45083021700 compare to Saxon overall?
Tract 45083021700 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Saxon at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saxon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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