Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Falling Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fairforest
Tract 45083021903 · Spartanburg County, SC · pop 2,233 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 45083021903 (the Falling Creek area of Fairforest, South Carolina) comes in at 4.2/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 15th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 7% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $813 a month against an average household income of $54,305 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units914
Renter share14.8%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$54,305
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fairforest and the region
Centroid at 34.9499, -82.0311 · click any tract to drill in
Why Falling Creek scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fairforest
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$813 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fairforest
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fairforest
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fairforest
4.6
How Falling Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.2%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.1%Food insecurity
- 11.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.2%Transit barriers
- 19.8%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 35.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Falling Creek
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 4.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fairforest, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Spartanburg County average of 5.5 and below the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 17.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 45083021903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45083021903?
Census tract 45083021903 in the Falling Creek neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45083021903?
Median gross rent is $813/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 7% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45083021903?
17.1% of residents in tract 45083021903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,233.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45083021903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 70th, minority 70th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 45083021903 considered part of Falling Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45083021903 fall within Falling Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 45083021903 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 45083021903 compare to Fairforest overall?
Tract 45083021903 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fairforest at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fairforest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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