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Census Tract · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Nashville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47037012701 · Davidson County, TN · pop 6,306

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 47037012701 (Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), Tennessee) comes in at 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 48% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $965 a month against an average household income of $44,639 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 22% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,563
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate38.5%
Median income$44,639

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 166 tracts In Nashville
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
Very High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#237 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
National
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#18,240 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.2222, -86.7918 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nashville scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
38.5% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$965 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How Nashville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nashville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 012701Nashville: 2.52.5Nashvilleparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 951Total filings 2020-21
  • 12.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.12×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 9 filings (1.29× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.12× baseline)2020-06-01: 8 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-07-01: 7 filings (0.95× baseline)2020-08-01: 7 filings (1.11× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.26× baseline)2020-10-01: 3 filings (0.64× baseline)2020-11-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2020-12-01: 3 filings (1.12× baseline)2021-01-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2021-03-01: 7 filings (1.17× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (0.35× baseline)2021-06-01: 18 filings (2.57× baseline)2021-07-01: 6 filings (0.82× baseline)2021-08-01: 7 filings (1.11× baseline)2021-09-01: 13 filings (1.69× baseline)2021-10-01: 6 filings (1.28× baseline)2021-11-01: 9 filings (1.80× baseline)2021-12-01: 17 filings (6.37× baseline)2022-01-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2022-02-01: 9 filings (1.29× baseline)2022-03-01: 12 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 9 filings (1.23× baseline)2022-05-01: 6 filings (0.69× baseline)2022-06-01: 13 filings (1.86× baseline)2022-07-01: 12 filings (1.64× baseline)2022-08-01: 31 filings (4.90× baseline)2022-09-01: 7 filings (0.91× baseline)2022-10-01: 28 filings (6.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 23 filings (4.60× baseline)2022-12-01: 18 filings (6.74× baseline)2023-01-01: 20 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 25 filings (3.57× baseline)2023-03-01: 14 filings (2.33× baseline)2023-04-01: 13 filings (1.77× baseline)2023-05-01: 12 filings (1.38× baseline)2023-06-01: 20 filings (2.86× baseline)2023-07-01: 5 filings (0.68× baseline)2023-08-01: 10 filings (1.58× baseline)2023-09-01: 13 filings (1.69× baseline)2023-10-01: 12 filings (2.57× baseline)2023-11-01: 9 filings (1.80× baseline)2023-12-01: 10 filings (3.75× baseline)2024-01-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2024-02-01: 9 filings (1.29× baseline)2024-03-01: 9 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-04-01: 9 filings (1.23× baseline)2024-05-01: 15 filings (1.73× baseline)2024-06-01: 9 filings (1.29× baseline)2024-07-01: 14 filings (1.91× baseline)2024-08-01: 21 filings (3.32× baseline)2024-09-01: 8 filings (1.04× baseline)2024-10-01: 12 filings (2.57× baseline)2024-11-01: 14 filings (2.80× baseline)2024-12-01: 12 filings (4.49× baseline)2025-01-01: 20 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 25 filings (3.57× baseline)2025-03-01: 32 filings (5.33× baseline)2025-04-01: 10 filings (1.36× baseline)2025-05-01: 25 filings (2.88× baseline)2025-06-01: 35 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 26 filings (3.55× baseline)2025-08-01: 11 filings (1.74× baseline)2025-09-01: 22 filings (2.87× baseline)2025-10-01: 20 filings (4.28× baseline)2025-11-01: 17 filings (3.40× baseline)2025-12-01: 12 filings (4.49× baseline)2026-01-01: 24 filings (240.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 17 filings (170.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 14 filings (140.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 23 filings (230.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nashville

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Nashville eviction risk-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Davidson County average of 4.5 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.12x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037012701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037012701?

Census tract 47037012701 in Nashville scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037012701?

Median gross rent is $965/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037012701?

38.5% of residents in tract 47037012701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,306.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037012701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 96th, minority 86th, housing 75th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 47037012701 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.12× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 47037012701 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037012701 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 47037012701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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