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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Germantown Nashville, TN Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47037014200 · Davidson County, TN · pop 2,361 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 47037014200 covers part of the Germantown Nashville, TN area of Nashville, TN, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,361. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 42% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units820
Renter share82.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate49.2%
Median income$25,455

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Germantown Nashville, TN
High
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 166 tracts In Nashville
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#14 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#178 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1669, -86.8037 · click any tract to drill in

Why Germantown Nashville, TN scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
49.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$812 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How Germantown Nashville, TN compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Germantown Nashville, TN risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0142003.8Nashvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 379Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 13.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.37×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Germantown Nashville, TN. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Germantown Nashville, TN

Average gross rent is $812, 49% below the Nashville average. The poverty rate is 49%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $25,455, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.7/10.

Disability prevalence runs 44.5% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Davidson County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Nashville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037014200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037014200?

Census tract 47037014200 in the Germantown Nashville, TN neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037014200?

Median gross rent is $812/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037014200?

49.2% of residents in tract 47037014200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,361.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037014200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 26th, minority 86th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 47037014200 considered part of Germantown Nashville, TN?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037014200 fall within Germantown Nashville, TN (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47037014200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.37× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47037014200 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037014200 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47037014200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 91% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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