Downtown Nashville Eviction Risk: Moderate

At $887 a month, rents run 44% under what the rest of Nashville commands. The poverty rate is 53%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $26,889, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 49.4% against 31.5% nationally.

19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.7/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the Davidson County average of 3.9. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.5% against 11.3% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.