Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Nashville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 47037019300 · Davidson County, TN · pop 4,422 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
In Downtown Nashville in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), census tract 47037019300 scores 5.2/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 45% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $887 a month against an average household income of $26,889 a year, roughly 40% of income at the averages. About 99% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 54%
Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,887
Renter share98.8%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate53.2%
Median income$26,889
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Nashville and the region
Centroid at 36.1710, -86.7684 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Nashville scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
53.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$887 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1
How Downtown Nashville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 68%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 680Total filings 2020-21
- 8.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 31.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.28×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Nashville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Nashville
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Nashville eviction risk-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Davidson County average of 4.5 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 68% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 47037019300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037019300?
Census tract 47037019300 in the Downtown Nashville neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47037019300?
Median gross rent is $887/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47037019300?
53.2% of residents in tract 47037019300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,422.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47037019300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 79th, minority 86th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 47037019300 considered part of Downtown Nashville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037019300 fall within Downtown Nashville (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47037019300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.28× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47037019300 compare to Nashville overall?
Tract 47037019300 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 47037019300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 68% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Nashville
Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
47037010403
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037015900
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
New Heights District
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Germantown Nashville, TN
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037012801
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Madison
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037012701
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
New Heights District
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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