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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

East Nashville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47037011900 · Davidson County, TN · pop 3,001 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 47037011900 covers part of the East Nashville area of Nashville, TN, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,001. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 33% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,456
Renter share71.6%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate25.3%
Median income$64,025

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In East Nashville
Very High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 166 tracts In Nashville
Very High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#178 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1791, -86.7591 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Nashville scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
25.3% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,721 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How East Nashville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Nashville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0119003.8Nashvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 350Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 6.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.67×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Nashville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Nashville

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10. This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Set annual rent against average income of $64,025 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against Davidson County at 46.0%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.3 points above the Davidson County average of 3.9.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10. Average gross rent is $1,721, 9% above the Nashville average.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Nashville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037011900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037011900?

Census tract 47037011900 in the East Nashville neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037011900?

Median gross rent is $1,721/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037011900?

25.3% of residents in tract 47037011900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,001.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037011900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 55th, minority 71th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 47037011900 considered part of East Nashville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037011900 fall within East Nashville (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47037011900 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47037011900 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037011900 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47037011900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 80% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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