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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Harbor Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis

Tract 47157000200 · Shelby County, TN · pop 1,211 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

47157000200 is a census tract in the Harbor Town area of Memphis, TN. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,211 residents. 49% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 64% Stable renters 15% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units433
Renter share79.7%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate35.7%
Median income$28,850

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Harbor Town
Very High
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#74 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Elevated
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#63 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.1681, -90.0424 · click any tract to drill in

Why Harbor Town scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
35.7% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$953 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Harbor Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Harbor Town risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0002004.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 531Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.57×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Harbor Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Harbor Town

Cost burden runs 81% here against 48.3% across Shelby County. Disability prevalence runs 53.8% against 31.5% nationally.

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 8.9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $28,850 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. At $953 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Memphis commands. Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Adults with no health insurance runs 18.5% against 11.3% nationally. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Memphis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157000200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157000200?

Census tract 47157000200 in the Harbor Town neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157000200?

Median gross rent is $953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157000200?

35.7% of residents in tract 47157000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,211.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 69th, minority 100th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 47157000200 considered part of Harbor Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157000200 fall within Harbor Town (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47157000200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47157000200 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157000200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47157000200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 88% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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