Crosstown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis

37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Shelby County average of 48.3%. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. At $932 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Memphis commands. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Memphis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Shelby County average of 4.3 closely.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $50,559.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.