Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate

The poverty rate is 50%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 54.1% against 31.5% nationally.

Set annual rent against average income of $20,778 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. At $749 a month, rents run 37% under what the rest of Memphis commands. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. 43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Shelby County average of 48.3%.

Adults with no health insurance runs 18.5% against 11.3% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.