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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Orange Mound Eviction Risk: Lower , Memphis

Tract 47157007200 · Shelby County, TN · pop 2,824 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

In Orange Mound in Memphis, census tract 47157007200 scores 5.2/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 45% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,723 a month against an average household income of $85,523 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 21% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,600
Renter share47.1%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$85,523

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 9 tracts In Orange Mound
Very Low
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#145 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Low
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#147 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Moderate
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#924 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.1221, -89.9535 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orange Mound scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,723 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Orange Mound compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orange Mound risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 007200Memphis: 3.13.1Memphisparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 216Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.11×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2020-02-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-06-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.32× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (6.67× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-02-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-07-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-09-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2023-10-01: 6 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-01-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 6 filings (12.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (0.48× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-09-01: 9 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-02-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 5 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.16× baseline)2025-05-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-07-01: 13 filings (10.40× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-09-01: 9 filings (3.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-11-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Orange Mound. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orange Mound

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Memphis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Shelby County average of 4.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.11x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157007200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157007200?

Census tract 47157007200 in the Orange Mound neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157007200?

Median gross rent is $1,723/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157007200?

16.3% of residents in tract 47157007200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,824.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157007200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 2th, minority 19th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 47157007200 considered part of Orange Mound?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157007200 fall within Orange Mound (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47157007200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.11× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47157007200 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157007200 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47157007200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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