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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Orange Mound Eviction Risk: Lower , Memphis

Tract 47157007200 · Shelby County, TN · pop 2,824 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

47157007200 is a census tract in the Orange Mound area of Memphis, TN. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,824 residents. At $1,723 a month, rents run 46% over what the rest of Memphis commands.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 21% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,600
Renter share47.1%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$85,523

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 9 tracts In Orange Mound
Very Low
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#145 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Low
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#149 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Moderate
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#817 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.1221, -89.9535 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orange Mound scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,723 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Orange Mound compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orange Mound risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0072004.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 216Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.11×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Orange Mound. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orange Mound

29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.

The voucher gap is 27.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Shelby County average of 48.3%.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.7/10. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Memphis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Shelby County average of 4.3 closely.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $85,523. 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157007200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157007200?

Census tract 47157007200 in the Orange Mound neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157007200?

Median gross rent is $1,723/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157007200?

16.3% of residents in tract 47157007200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,824.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157007200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 2th, minority 19th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 47157007200 considered part of Orange Mound?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157007200 fall within Orange Mound (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47157007200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.11× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47157007200 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157007200 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47157007200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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