Orange Mound Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Disability prevalence runs 48.6% against 31.5% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.4/10.

67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10. Against Shelby County at 48.3%, 40% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. At $977 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Memphis commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Memphis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.