Within neighborhood
63
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Orange Mound Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis
Tract 47157006500 · Shelby County, TN · pop 2,309 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
In the Orange Mound area of Memphis, census tract 47157006500 scores 5.1/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 41% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $977 a month against an average household income of $41,016 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 67% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units982
Renter share66.5%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate33.6%
Median income$41,016
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Memphis and the region
Centroid at 35.1043, -89.9975 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orange Mound scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
33.6% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$977 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5
How Orange Mound compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 13%Grade B
- 51%Grade C
- 35%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 430Total filings 2020-21
- 5.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.63×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Orange Mound. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orange Mound
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Memphis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Shelby County average of 4.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.63x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 47157006500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157006500?
Census tract 47157006500 in the Orange Mound neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47157006500?
Median gross rent is $977/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47157006500?
33.6% of residents in tract 47157006500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,309.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47157006500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 81th, minority 98th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 47157006500 considered part of Orange Mound?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157006500 fall within Orange Mound (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47157006500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.63× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47157006500 compare to Memphis overall?
Tract 47157006500 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 47157006500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 35% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Memphis
Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
47157022700
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Frayser
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Frayser
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47157010500
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Parkway Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Whitehaven
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Orange Mound
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Crosstown
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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