Within neighborhood
14
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Hickory Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis
Tract 47157010820 · Shelby County, TN · pop 4,084 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
For landlords sizing up Hickory Hill in Memphis, census tract 47157010820 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. On the national scale it ranks #49,536 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 71% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,248 monthly, set against $59,533 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 46% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,618
Renter share46.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$59,533
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
39
th percentile
Low
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Memphis and the region
Centroid at 35.0556, -89.8759 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hickory Hill scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,248 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5
How Hickory Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 661Total filings 2020-21
- 8.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.82×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hickory Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hickory Hill
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Memphis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Shelby County average of 4.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.82x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 47157010820
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157010820?
Census tract 47157010820 in the Hickory Hill neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47157010820?
Median gross rent is $1,248/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47157010820?
18.2% of residents in tract 47157010820 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,084.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47157010820?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 83th, minority 97th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 47157010820 considered part of Hickory Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157010820 fall within Hickory Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47157010820 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47157010820 compare to Memphis overall?
Tract 47157010820 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Memphis
Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
Frayser
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47157022700
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Binghampton
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Orange Mound
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47157022310
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Frayser
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47157010500
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Parkway Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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