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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Hickory Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis

Tract 47157021757 · Shelby County, TN · pop 2,818 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 47157021757 sits in the Hickory Hill area of Memphis eviction risk, TN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. It is home to 2,818 residents. Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 48.3% across Shelby County.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 25% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,128
Renter share76.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$41,254

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Hickory Hill
Elevated
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#99 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Moderate
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#99 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Elevated
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#178 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.0423, -89.8615 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hickory Hill scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,124 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Hickory Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hickory Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0217574.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 2,118Total filings 2020-21
  • 27.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hickory Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hickory Hill

Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.

77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $41,254, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Memphis eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.

Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157021757

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157021757?

Census tract 47157021757 in the Hickory Hill neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157021757?

Median gross rent is $1,124/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157021757?

19.7% of residents in tract 47157021757 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,818.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157021757?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 22th, minority 97th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 47157021757 considered part of Hickory Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157021757 fall within Hickory Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 47157021757 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157021757 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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