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Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Millington Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47157020302 · Shelby County, TN · pop 2,981

Eviction risk in Millington eviction risk centers on tract 47157020302, which scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,981 residents. That is riskier than roughly 52% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $919 monthly, set against $43,980 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 36% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,623
Renter share56.9%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate35.3%
Median income$43,980

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Millington
Very High
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#76 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Elevated
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#271 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
National
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#19,562 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Millington and the region

Centroid at 35.3464, -89.8945 · click any tract to drill in

Why Millington scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Millington
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
35.3% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$919 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Millington
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Millington
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Millington
5.5

How Millington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Millington risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 020302Millington: 2.72.7Millingtonparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 561Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 15 filings (150.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 11 filings (110.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 12 filings (120.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 17 filings (170.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 12 filings (120.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 16 filings (160.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 14 filings (140.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 12 filings (120.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 19 filings (190.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 14 filings (140.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 15 filings (150.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 14 filings (140.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 14 filings (140.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Millington

What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Millington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Shelby County average of 4.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157020302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157020302?

Census tract 47157020302 in Millington scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157020302?

Median gross rent is $919/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157020302?

35.3% of residents in tract 47157020302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,981.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157020302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 96th, minority 61th, housing 99th.
Q5

How does tract 47157020302 compare to Millington overall?

Tract 47157020302 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Millington at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Millington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Millington

Top eight tracts in Millington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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