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Millington, Tennessee eviction risk overview
City brief · 11,289 residents

Millington, TN Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Shelby County · Population 11,289

In 2026
Risk score
5.2
MODERATE

100th percentile, Tennessee.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.7 Average3.7 Now5.2
10 5 1976 · score 3.3 1977 · score 3.3 1978 · score 3.3 1979 · score 3.4 1980 · score 3.2 1981 · score 3.3 1982 · score 3.3 1983 · score 3.3 1984 · score 2.7 1985 · score 2.7 1986 · score 2.8 1987 · score 2.8 1988 · score 2.8 1989 · score 2.8 1990 · score 2.9 1991 · score 3.0 1992 · score 3.6 1993 · score 3.6 1994 · score 3.6 1995 · score 3.7 1996 · score 3.7 1997 · score 3.7 1998 · score 3.8 1999 · score 3.8 2000 · score 3.1 2001 · score 3.2 2002 · score 3.3 2003 · score 3.3 2004 · score 3.2 2005 · score 3.3 2006 · score 3.3 2007 · score 3.4 2008 · score 3.7 2009 · score 3.8 2010 · score 3.9 2011 · score 4.0 2012 · score 3.9 2013 · score 3.9 2014 · score 4.0 2015 · score 4.1 2016 · score 4.1 2017 · score 4.3 2018 · score 4.4 2019 · score 4.6 2020 · score 5.1 2021 · score 5.1 2022 · score 5.1 2023 · score 5.2 2024 · score 5.0 2025 · score 5.1 2026 · score 5.2

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.9 Regional 6.9 State 1.9 Economic 7.6 Supply 7.2 Rent Control 4.2 Eviction 1.9 Tenant 8.1 Housing 5.5 5.2 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +25.4% (2024)
    6.9
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.9
  3. State political climate
    Tennessee legislature & governorship
    1.9
  4. Economic stress
    14.9% poverty · 8.3% unemp.
    7.6
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,111 average · 42.2% renters
    7.2
  6. Rent Control risk
    25.8% of income on rent
    4.2
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    31 days filing → judgment
    1.9
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    42.2% renters
    8.1
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.5
Geographic context

Risk heat across Millington and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Millington compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Shelby County
Very High
#1 of 7 cities
Rank in county, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 7 cities in Shelby County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Tennessee
Very High
#2 of 501 cities
Rank in state, 100th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 501 cities in Tennessee for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Millington risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Millington: 5.25.2MillingtonThis cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.2
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 5.2/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+1.9 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 31d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,111/mo. A contested eviction takes 31 days and costs $1,110-$2,753 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 42.2%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 11,289 residents, 42.2% rent. 26% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 14.9% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6.9
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6.9 and 6.9 (Dem margin +25.4% (2024)). State climate at 1.9, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.9
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.9/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.9, housing court bias 5.5, rent-control risk 4.2. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.1 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 7.6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 7.6. Supply constraint: 7.2. The numbers behind those: 14.9% poverty, 8.3% unemployment, 26% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Millington sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Bartlett, TN · 33d · ~$2.0k all-in ($61/day) · score 4.9 Bartlett Collierville, TN · 32d · ~$1.9k all-in ($60/day) · score 5 Collierville Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government, TN · 37d · ~$2.1k all-in ($57/day) · score 4.5 Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government Knoxville, TN · 35d · ~$2.0k all-in ($57/day) · score 2.2 Knoxville Chattanooga, TN · 31d · ~$2.1k all-in ($67/day) · score 2.8 Chattanooga Clarksville, TN · 35d · ~$2.1k all-in ($59/day) · score 2.3 Clarksville Murfreesboro, TN · 35d · ~$2.2k all-in ($63/day) · score 2 Murfreesboro Franklin, TN · 35d · ~$2.1k all-in ($61/day) · score 1.4 Franklin Johnson City, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($63/day) · score 1.5 Johnson City Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Millington
Millington · 31d · ~$1.9k all-in ($62/day) · score 5.2 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Millington, TN

Landlording in Millington, Tennessee, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Millington is a city of 11,289 residents where 42.2% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 25.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,111/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Millington eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.9/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Millington closes 31 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Millington's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.5/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Millington runs $1,110 to $2,753 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 31 days of typical timeline and $1,111/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 8.1/10 in Millington, and the city has limited rent control exposure (4.2/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Tennessee, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Millington: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Tennessee's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $2,753 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Millington

Trap · 14.9%
Local poverty rate is 14.9%, and the rent-burden distribution skews the eviction-filings curve toward moderate volume in Shelby County. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 4.2/10. Tenant organizing is most active in the rental concentration corridors.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, county-level. Last update 2026-04-01.

In the most recent month, 1,579 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 0.77× the historical baseline (below baseline). Past 12 months: 25,698 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 146,558.

  • 1,579Past month
  • 25,698Past 12 months
  • 0.77×vs baseline (past mo)
  • 27.1%Repeat-tenant filings
Notice requirement: 14 days notice (for nonpayment of rent cases, though in many cases less). Filing fee: $102.5 filing fee.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-04-01 - 2026-03-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-04-01: 2,073 filings (0.94× hist)2023-05-01: 2,511 filings (0.98× hist)2023-06-01: 2,728 filings (1.05× hist)2023-07-01: 2,499 filings (0.91× hist)2023-08-01: 2,801 filings (1.02× hist)2023-09-01: 2,757 filings (0.99× hist)2023-10-01: 3,040 filings (1.12× hist)2023-11-01: 2,486 filings (1.06× hist)2023-12-01: 2,119 filings (1.09× hist)2024-01-01: 2,472 filings (0.95× hist)2024-02-01: 2,632 filings (1.00× hist)2024-03-01: 1,836 filings (0.89× hist)2024-04-01: 2,428 filings (1.10× hist)2024-05-01: 2,637 filings (1.02× hist)2024-06-01: 2,481 filings (0.95× hist)2024-07-01: 2,967 filings (1.09× hist)2024-08-01: 2,674 filings (0.98× hist)2024-09-01: 2,791 filings (1.01× hist)2024-10-01: 2,547 filings (0.94× hist)2024-11-01: 2,224 filings (0.94× hist)2024-12-01: 1,850 filings (0.95× hist)2025-01-01: 2,598 filings (1.00× hist)2025-02-01: 2,285 filings (0.88× hist)2025-03-01: 1,794 filings (0.87× hist)2025-04-01: 1,855 filings (0.84× hist)2025-05-01: 2,269 filings (0.88× hist)2025-06-01: 2,438 filings (0.94× hist)2025-07-01: 2,991 filings (1.09× hist)2025-08-01: 2,460 filings (0.90× hist)2025-09-01: 2,400 filings (0.87× hist)2025-10-01: 2,457 filings (0.91× hist)2025-11-01: 1,810 filings (0.77× hist)2025-12-01: 2,301 filings (1.18× hist)2026-01-01: 1,315 filings (0.51× hist)2026-02-01: 1,823 filings (0.70× hist)2026-03-01: 1,579 filings (0.77× hist)
Filings dropped 15% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the fastest way to get a non-paying tenant out in Millington?

The fastest legal way is to immediately issue the 14-day pay-or-quit notice once rent is late. If they don't pay or leave, file for eviction on day 15. Consider "cash for keys" as an alternative; it can sometimes be quicker and less stressful than court, if the tenant agrees.

Q2

Can I just change the locks if my tenant stops paying?

Absolutely not. This is an illegal "self-help" eviction and can result in you owing the tenant significant damages, including attorney fees. Always follow the proper legal process through the courts.

Q3

How much notice do I need to give if I don't want to renew a month-to-month lease?

You need to provide a 30-day written notice for a no-cause termination of a month-to-month tenancy in Tennessee. Make sure it's delivered properly and you have proof.

Q4

Do I need an attorney for an eviction in Millington?

While you can represent yourself in General Sessions Court, it's highly recommended to hire an attorney. They understand the specific procedures, can navigate any tenant defenses, and save you time and money by ensuring the process is handled correctly the first time.

Q5

What happens if the tenant appeals the eviction?

If a tenant appeals, the case moves to Circuit Court, which significantly extends the timeline and increases costs. This is another reason to have an attorney from the start. They can advise on the likelihood of appeal and strategy.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.2/10 places Millington in the 100th percentile of Tennessee cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.