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Census Tract · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally

Germantown Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 47157021410 · Shelby County, TN · pop 3,320 · 89% of tract blocks fall in Germantown

How risky is Germantown for landlords? Census tract 47157021410 scores $1/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 11th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 16% of renter households, a modest level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,972 a month while the average household earns $140,114 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 11% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,293
Renter share13.1%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$140,114

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 9 tracts In Germantown
Low
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#241 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Very Low
Within state
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#1,645 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very Low
National
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#80,791 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Germantown and the region

Centroid at 35.1086, -89.8287 · click any tract to drill in

Why Germantown scores 1.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Germantown
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,972 rent vs county FMR
9.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
3.9

How Germantown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Germantown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.31.3This tracttract 021410Germantown: 2.32.3Germantownparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 26Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.08×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Germantown

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 9.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Germantown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Shelby County average of 4.9 and in line with the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.08x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157021410

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157021410?

Census tract 47157021410 in Germantown scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157021410?

Median gross rent is $1,972/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157021410?

1.4% of residents in tract 47157021410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,320.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157021410?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 14th, minority 5th, housing 12th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 47157021410 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.08× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 47157021410 compare to Germantown overall?

Tract 47157021410 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Germantown at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Germantown

Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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