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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Bonnaville Terrace Colonia Eviction Risk: Lower , Harlingen

Tract 48061010205 · Cameron, TX · pop 3,763 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 3.4/10, tract 48061010205 in the Bonnaville Terrace Colonia area of Harlingen, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,763. Against Cameron County at 42.8%, 22% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 12% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,410
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate17.7%
Median income$60,763

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Bonnaville Terrace Colonia
Very Low
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 23 tracts In Harlingen
Low
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 121 tracts In Cameron
Low
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#3,765 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harlingen and the region

Centroid at 26.2392, -97.7004 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bonnaville Terrace Colonia scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harlingen
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.7% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,087 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harlingen
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harlingen
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harlingen
7.2

How Bonnaville Terrace Colonia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bonnaville Terrace Colonia risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 0102054.0Harlingenparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bonnaville Terrace Colonia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bonnaville Terrace Colonia

Adults with no health insurance runs 30.6% against 11.3% nationally. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,087, 17% above the Harlingen average. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The voucher gap is 14.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 9.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Cameron County average of 3.9 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $60,763.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48061010205

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48061010205?

Census tract 48061010205 in the Bonnaville Terrace Colonia neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48061010205?

Median gross rent is $1,087/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48061010205?

17.7% of residents in tract 48061010205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,763.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48061010205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 99th, minority 83th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 48061010205 considered part of Bonnaville Terrace Colonia?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48061010205 fall within Bonnaville Terrace Colonia (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48061010205 compare to Harlingen overall?

Tract 48061010205 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Harlingen at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harlingen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Harlingen

Top eight tracts in Harlingen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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