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Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Brownsville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48061013203 · Cameron, TX · pop 2,287

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 48061013203 in Brownsville, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 17% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units763
Renter share51.1%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate42.1%
Median income$31,023

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 60 tracts In Brownsville
High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 121 tracts In Cameron
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#1,261 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Brownsville and the region

Centroid at 25.9337, -97.4379 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brownsville scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brownsville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
42.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$926 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brownsville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brownsville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brownsville
3.5

How Brownsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brownsville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0132033.4Brownsvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 25Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 2.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.1%Peak (2016)
  • 4Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2015 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48061013203
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brownsville

66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Cameron County average of 42.8%. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 49.3% against 11.3% nationally.

The poverty rate is 42%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 49.6% against 31.5% nationally.

Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $31,023, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 0.9 points above the Cameron County average of 3.9.

Court records carry 25 eviction filings across 3 observed years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.1% of renter households.

In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48061013203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48061013203?

Census tract 48061013203 in Brownsville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48061013203?

Median gross rent is $926/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48061013203?

42.1% of residents in tract 48061013203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,287.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48061013203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 96th, minority 95th, housing 85th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48061013203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 48061013203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.69% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 48061013203 compare to Brownsville overall?

Tract 48061013203 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Brownsville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brownsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Brownsville

Top eight tracts in Brownsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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