Brownsville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Adults with no health insurance runs 52.4% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 50%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Disability prevalence runs 52.2% against 31.5% nationally.

Average gross rent is $583, 37% below the Brownsville average. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Cost burden runs 49% here against 42.8% across Cameron County. Against the Cameron County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 26 evictions over 3 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 2.1% of renter households.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.