Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Aubrey Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121020117 · Denton, TX · pop 2,472 · 54% of tract blocks fall in Aubrey
Census tract 48121020117 covers part of Aubrey, TX, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,472. At $996 a month, rents run 47% under what the rest of Aubrey commands.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units956
Renter share25.2%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$90,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aubrey and the region
Centroid at 33.3307, -96.9976 · click any tract to drill in
Why Aubrey scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Aubrey
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$996 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aubrey
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aubrey
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aubrey
6.9
How Aubrey compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 27Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.82×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Aubrey
28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $90,500, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020117
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020117?
Census tract 48121020117 in Aubrey scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020117?
Median gross rent is $996/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020117?
11.9% of residents in tract 48121020117 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,472.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020117?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 77th, minority 34th, housing 9th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020117 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020117 compare to Aubrey overall?
Tract 48121020117 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Aubrey at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aubrey; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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