Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Highland Shores 2-C Eviction Risk: Lower , Highland Village
Tract 48121021514 · Denton, TX · pop 4,341 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 48121021514 in the Highland Shores 2-C area of Highland Village, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,328
Renter share5.1%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$152,232
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Highland Village and the region
Centroid at 33.0820, -97.0607 · click any tract to drill in
Why Highland Shores 2-C scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Highland Village
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,992 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Highland Village
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Highland Village
2.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Highland Village
1.5
How Highland Shores 2-C compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 34Total filings over 11 yrs
- 18.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 79.9%Peak (2006)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 6Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.31×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Highland Shores 2-C
The voucher gap is 58.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,992, 23% above the Highland Village average. Court records carry 34 eviction filings across 11 observed years.
Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2006, when 79.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 18.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021514
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021514?
Census tract 48121021514 in the Highland Shores 2-C neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021514?
Median gross rent is $2,992/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021514?
2.8% of residents in tract 48121021514 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,341.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021514?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 13th, minority 36th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021514 considered part of Highland Shores 2-C?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021514 fall within Highland Shores 2-C (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021514?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 34 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 48121021514 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.35% of renter households, peaking at 79.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021514 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.31× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48121021514 compare to Highland Village overall?
Tract 48121021514 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Highland Village at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Highland Village; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Highland Village
Top eight tracts in Highland Village ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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