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Neighborhood · Ranked #70,218 of 84,120 nationally

Magnolia Falls Eviction Risk: Lower , Atascocita

Tract 48201232203 · Harris, TX · pop 5,936 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 48201232203 sits in the Magnolia Falls area of Atascocita eviction risk, Texas eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. That is riskier than about 44% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 72% of renter households, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,451 a month against an average household income of $70,180 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 15% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units2,835
Renter share53.8%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$70,180

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 2 tracts In Magnolia Falls
Very Low
Within parent city
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileBottomTop
#552 of 952 tracts In Atascocita
Moderate
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileBottomTop
#653 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Moderate
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileBottomTop
#3,278 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Atascocita and the region

Centroid at 29.9240, -95.2283 · click any tract to drill in

Why Magnolia Falls scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Atascocita
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,451 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atascocita
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atascocita
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atascocita
2.5

How Magnolia Falls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Magnolia Falls risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 232203Atascocita: 3.43.4Atascocitaparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 2.62.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 1,612Total filings 2020-21
  • 20.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 7.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.92×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 19 filings (1.81× baseline)2020-02-01: 24 filings (4.17× baseline)2020-03-01: 21 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 5 filings (0.53× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.27× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2020-12-01: 4 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-01-01: 8 filings (0.76× baseline)2021-02-01: 6 filings (1.04× baseline)2021-03-01: 7 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-05-01: 10 filings (1.60× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.17× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.32× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.11× baseline)2021-09-01: 13 filings (1.73× baseline)2021-10-01: 7 filings (0.88× baseline)2021-11-01: 10 filings (1.25× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (0.25× baseline)2022-01-01: 31 filings (2.95× baseline)2022-02-01: 22 filings (3.83× baseline)2022-03-01: 30 filings (5.71× baseline)2022-04-01: 37 filings (7.40× baseline)2022-05-01: 37 filings (5.92× baseline)2022-06-01: 23 filings (1.92× baseline)2022-07-01: 29 filings (4.64× baseline)2022-08-01: 29 filings (3.05× baseline)2022-09-01: 32 filings (4.27× baseline)2022-10-01: 32 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 23 filings (2.88× baseline)2022-12-01: 24 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 25 filings (2.38× baseline)2023-02-01: 46 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 18 filings (3.43× baseline)2023-04-01: 29 filings (5.80× baseline)2023-05-01: 30 filings (4.80× baseline)2023-06-01: 38 filings (3.17× baseline)2023-07-01: 32 filings (5.12× baseline)2023-08-01: 26 filings (2.74× baseline)2023-09-01: 28 filings (3.73× baseline)2023-10-01: 38 filings (4.75× baseline)2023-11-01: 26 filings (3.25× baseline)2023-12-01: 34 filings (4.25× baseline)2024-01-01: 40 filings (3.81× baseline)2024-02-01: 31 filings (5.39× baseline)2024-03-01: 18 filings (3.43× baseline)2024-04-01: 23 filings (4.60× baseline)2024-05-01: 31 filings (4.96× baseline)2024-06-01: 23 filings (1.92× baseline)2024-07-01: 27 filings (4.32× baseline)2024-08-01: 32 filings (3.37× baseline)2024-09-01: 32 filings (4.27× baseline)2024-10-01: 23 filings (2.88× baseline)2024-11-01: 26 filings (3.25× baseline)2024-12-01: 35 filings (4.38× baseline)2025-01-01: 35 filings (3.33× baseline)2025-02-01: 34 filings (5.91× baseline)2025-03-01: 21 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 25 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 49 filings (7.84× baseline)2025-06-01: 26 filings (2.17× baseline)2025-07-01: 28 filings (4.48× baseline)2025-08-01: 30 filings (3.16× baseline)2025-09-01: 29 filings (3.87× baseline)2025-10-01: 31 filings (3.88× baseline)2025-11-01: 14 filings (1.75× baseline)2025-12-01: 24 filings (3.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 32 filings (320.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 24 filings (240.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Magnolia Falls. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Falls

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Atascocita eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.92x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201232203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201232203?

Census tract 48201232203 in the Magnolia Falls neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201232203?

Median gross rent is $1,451/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201232203?

11.2% of residents in tract 48201232203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,936.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201232203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 34th, minority 77th, housing 15th.

Q5

Is tract 48201232203 considered part of Magnolia Falls?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201232203 fall within Magnolia Falls (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201232203 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.92× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.

Q7

How does tract 48201232203 compare to Atascocita overall?

Tract 48201232203 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Atascocita at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atascocita eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Atascocita

Top eight tracts in Atascocita ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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