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Neighborhood · Atascocita, TX

Magnolia Falls Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 15,134 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.9/10 · range 2–4.3

Magnolia Falls is a black-hispanic neighborhood in Atascocita with 2 census tracts and a population of 15,134 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 13% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,556/month sits 16% lower than the Atascocita citywide average ($1,849).

Risk score
2.9
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Magnolia Falls vs Atascocita How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.8% +98%
Atascocita: 24.6%
Average gross rent
$1,556 -16%
Atascocita: $1,849
Average HH income
$83,885 -27%
Atascocita: $114,443
Poverty rate
7.0% +4%
Atascocita: 6.8%
Renter share
34.6% +98%
Atascocita: 17.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Magnolia Falls and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2–4.3

Why Magnolia Falls scores 2.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–6.1 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 1.0–3.9 across tracts
2.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–3.5 across tracts
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
35% renter households · Range 3.5–4.0 across tracts
3.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–3.9 across tracts
3.4
Economic stress
7.0% below poverty line · Range 1.1–2.8 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.5–5.6 across tracts
5.2
Risk score comparison

Magnolia Falls vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Magnolia Falls score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Magnolia Falls: 2.92.9Magnolia FallsNeighborhoodParent city: 2.22.2Parent cityhost cityState: 2.62.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Magnolia Falls

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201232203 4.3 5,936 72% $1,451
48201250304 2 9,198 34% $1,624
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 61

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 38%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Magnolia Falls

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 2,354Total filings 2020-21
  • 14.1Avg monthly observed
  • 5.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.45×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Magnolia Falls

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Magnolia Falls?

Magnolia Falls scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Magnolia Falls compare to Atascocita overall?

Magnolia Falls scores 0.7 points higher than Atascocita overall (2.2/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,556 vs $1,849.
Q3

What is the average rent in Magnolia Falls?

Average gross rent in Magnolia Falls is $1,556/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Magnolia Falls residents are renters?

35% of Magnolia Falls households are renter-occupied (vs 17% in Atascocita). The neighborhood has 15,134 residents.
Q5

Is Magnolia Falls a high social-vulnerability area?

Magnolia Falls sits in the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Magnolia Falls have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Magnolia Falls is census tract 48201232203 (score 4.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2 to 4.3, a spread of 2.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Magnolia Falls for landlords?

Magnolia Falls carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Atascocita as a whole (2.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Magnolia Falls?

Magnolia Falls has 16,623 residents (Black-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (38.1%), Hispanic / Latino (37.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (20.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Magnolia Falls

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Atascocita

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Magnolia Falls.

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