2 census tracts · pop 15,134 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10
· range 3–3.5
Magnolia Falls spans 2 census tracts of Atascocita, TX, population 15,134. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.2/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Atascocita baseline of 24.6%, 49% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.8/10. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.3/10. Severe burden reaches 13%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Average gross rent is $1,556, 16% below the Atascocita average of $1,849. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.8/10.
That places it #1 of 14 neighborhoods in Atascocita. The closest comparables inside the same city are Aspen Glen and Pines of Atascocita.
Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.5 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $83,885.
35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 3.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Magnolia Falls vs AtascocitaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Magnolia Falls
Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
2,354Total filings 2020-21
14.1Avg monthly observed
5.5Pre-pandemic baseline
2.45×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).
Frequently asked
About Magnolia Falls
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Magnolia Falls?
Magnolia Falls scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Magnolia Falls compare to Atascocita overall?
Magnolia Falls scores 0.1 points lower than Atascocita overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,556 vs $1,849.
Q3
What is the average rent in Magnolia Falls?
Average gross rent in Magnolia Falls is $1,556/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Magnolia Falls residents are renters?
35% of Magnolia Falls households are renter-occupied (vs 17% in Atascocita). The neighborhood has 15,134 residents.
Q5
Is Magnolia Falls a high social-vulnerability area?
Magnolia Falls sits in the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Magnolia Falls have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Magnolia Falls is census tract 48201232203 (score 3.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.5, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7
How safe is Magnolia Falls for landlords?
Magnolia Falls carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Atascocita as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Magnolia Falls?
Magnolia Falls has 16,623 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (38.1%), Hispanic / Latino (37.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (20.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
