Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Songwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201233400 · Harris, TX · pop 2,662 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 48201233400 in the Songwood area of Jacinto City, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,662 residents. roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Harris County average of 49.5%.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units977
Renter share54.9%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$42,601
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7708, -95.2453 · click any tract to drill in
Why Songwood scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,120 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
1.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
1.8
How Songwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 196Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.2%Peak (2011)
- 21Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 159Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.95×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Songwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Songwood
Adults with no health insurance runs 38.8% against 11.3% nationally. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 196 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,120, 10% below the Jacinto City average.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 8.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Houston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201233400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201233400?
Census tract 48201233400 in the Songwood neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201233400?
Median gross rent is $1,120/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201233400?
25.4% of residents in tract 48201233400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,662.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201233400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 96th, minority 92th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 48201233400 considered part of Songwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201233400 fall within Songwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201233400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 196 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201233400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.03% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201233400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201233400 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201233400 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201233400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related