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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Autumn Falls Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201250303 · Harris, TX · pop 3,475 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 48201250303 covers part of the Autumn Falls area of Houston, TX, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,475. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 11% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,270
Renter share19.6%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$130,842

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Autumn Falls
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#675 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#738 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.9421, -95.2416 · click any tract to drill in

Why Autumn Falls scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,578 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Autumn Falls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Autumn Falls risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 2503033.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 40Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.23×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Autumn Falls

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Average gross rent is $1,578, 16% above the Houston average.

Against Harris County at 49.5%, 45% of renters here are cost-burdened. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $130,842, annual rent is just 14%.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201250303

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201250303?

Census tract 48201250303 in the Autumn Falls neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201250303?

Median gross rent is $1,578/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201250303?

11.2% of residents in tract 48201250303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,475.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201250303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 9th, minority 88th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 48201250303 considered part of Autumn Falls?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201250303 fall within Autumn Falls (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201250303 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.23× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201250303 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201250303 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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