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Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Autumn Falls Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,475 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Autumn Falls is a one-tract neighborhood of Houston, TX and houses 3,475 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 45% against 32.1% citywide, putting Autumn Falls 13.3% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.

At $1,578 a month, rents sit 16% over what the rest of Houston commands. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.8/10.

Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #241 by risk, the middle third. At 20% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Rent takes 14% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Autumn Falls vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.4% +41%
Houston: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$1,578 +16%
Houston: $1,361
Average HH income
$130,842 +108%
Houston: $62,894
Poverty rate
11.2% -43%
Houston: 19.7%
Renter share
19.6% -66%
Houston: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Autumn Falls and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Autumn Falls scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
20% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
11.2% below poverty line · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

Autumn Falls vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Autumn Falls score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Autumn FallsNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Autumn Falls

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201250303 3 3,475 45% $1,578
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 26

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 64%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 9%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 88%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 5%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Autumn Falls

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 40Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly observed
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.23×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Autumn Falls

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Autumn Falls?

Autumn Falls scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Autumn Falls compare to Houston overall?

Autumn Falls scores 0.7 points lower than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,578 vs $1,361.
Q3

What is the average rent in Autumn Falls?

Average gross rent in Autumn Falls is $1,578/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Autumn Falls residents are renters?

20% of Autumn Falls households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 3,475 residents.
Q5

Is Autumn Falls a high social-vulnerability area?

Autumn Falls sits in the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Autumn Falls for landlords?

Autumn Falls carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Autumn Falls?

Autumn Falls has 3,313 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (39%), Hispanic / Latino (24.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Autumn Falls

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Autumn Falls.

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