Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Cove Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201251100 · Harris, TX · pop 6,839 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
The Forest Cove area of Houston anchors census tract 48201251100, which lands at 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #46,734 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 82% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,890 a month while the average household earns $100,208 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 8% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,457
Renter share8.3%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$100,208
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 30.0355, -95.2365 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Cove scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,890 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Forest Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 297Total filings over 7 yrs
- 8.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2012)
- 29Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 158Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.68×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Cove
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 297 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 8.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.9% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201251100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201251100?
Census tract 48201251100 in the Forest Cove neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201251100?
Median gross rent is $1,890/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201251100?
5.2% of residents in tract 48201251100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,839.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201251100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 80th, minority 43th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 48201251100 considered part of Forest Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201251100 fall within Forest Cove (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201251100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 297 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201251100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.89% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201251100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.68× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201251100 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201251100 scores 3.3/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48201221400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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