Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,485 of 84,120 nationally
Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201423303 · Harris, TX · pop 1,330 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 48201423303 runs through Brays Oaks in Houston. With 1,330 residents, it scores 5.1/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #49,779 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,043 a month against an average household income of $49,329 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 89% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 57%
Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units624
Renter share89.3%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$49,329
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6601, -95.5109 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brays Oaks scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,043 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Brays Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)
- 240Total filings 2020-21
- 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.40×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.40x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201423303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201423303?
Census tract 48201423303 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201423303?
Median gross rent is $1,043/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201423303?
25.4% of residents in tract 48201423303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,330.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201423303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 13th, minority 92th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 48201423303 considered part of Brays Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201423303 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201423303 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.40× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201423303 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201423303 scores 2.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Chinatown
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48201550308
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Gulf Palms
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Greenspoint
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Westwood South
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48201222702
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Fallbrook
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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