Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Bear Branch Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201251300 · Harris, TX · pop 6,844 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 48201251300 covers part of the Bear Branch area of Houston, TX, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,844. Cost burden runs 67% here against 49.5% across Harris County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,492
Renter share11.9%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$131,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 30.0542, -95.1977 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bear Branch scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,918 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Bear Branch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 56Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2010)
- 14Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 40% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 44Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.13×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bear Branch
Average gross rent is $1,918, 41% above the Houston average. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 25.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
It sits 1.0 points below the Harris County average of 4.0. The filing record is not thin: 56 evictions over 7 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2010 at 4.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201251300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201251300?
Census tract 48201251300 in the Bear Branch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201251300?
Median gross rent is $1,918/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201251300?
3.7% of residents in tract 48201251300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,844.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201251300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 52th, minority 45th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 48201251300 considered part of Bear Branch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201251300 fall within Bear Branch (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201251300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 56 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201251300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.29% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201251300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201251300 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201251300 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Braeburn
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Hawthorne Place
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Greenspoint
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Pecan Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201340900
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Westwood South
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Alief
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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