Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Baytown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48201254200 · Harris, TX · pop 2,685
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 48201254200 in Baytown, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,685. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units846
Renter share34.4%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$54,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baytown and the region
Centroid at 29.7287, -94.9645 · click any tract to drill in
Why Baytown scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baytown
2.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,559 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baytown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baytown
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baytown
6.9
How Baytown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 108Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.2%Peak (2009)
- 12Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 144Total filings 2020-21
- 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.32×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Baytown
Adults with no health insurance runs 36.2% against 11.3% nationally. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $54,375, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
It sits 1.2 points above the Harris County average of 4.0. At $1,559 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Baytown commands. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against Harris County at 49.5%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 108 evictions over 7 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2009 at 10.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201254200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201254200?
Census tract 48201254200 in Baytown scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201254200?
Median gross rent is $1,559/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201254200?
20.7% of residents in tract 48201254200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,685.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201254200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 97th, minority 84th, housing 40th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201254200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 108 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201254200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.98% of renter households, peaking at 10.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201254200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.32× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201254200 compare to Baytown overall?
Tract 48201254200 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Baytown at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baytown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baytown
Top eight tracts in Baytown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Country Club Oaks
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201253800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201254000
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201254100
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201254300
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201253000
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201254400
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201254800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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