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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201312000 · Harris, TX · pop 3,587 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 3.8/10, tract 48201312000 in the Oak Manor area of Houston, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 16% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units684
Renter share34.5%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$62,235

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Oak Manor
Very Low
Within parent city
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#488 of 952 tracts In Houston
Moderate
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#554 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Moderate
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#3,048 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7152, -95.3524 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Manor scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,125 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Oak Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 3120003.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 721Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 19.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.4%Peak (2009)
  • 30Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201312000
Filings dropped 83% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 429Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.27×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oak Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Manor

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Average gross rent is $1,125, 17% below the Houston average. The filing record is not thin: 721 evictions over 7 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2009 at 23.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Houston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 19.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.2/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 53% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the Harris County average of 4.0 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201312000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201312000?

Census tract 48201312000 in the Oak Manor neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201312000?

Median gross rent is $1,125/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201312000?

12.0% of residents in tract 48201312000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,587.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201312000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 1th, minority 79th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 48201312000 considered part of Oak Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201312000 fall within Oak Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201312000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 721 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201312000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.15% of renter households, peaking at 23.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201312000 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.27× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201312000 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201312000 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 48201312000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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