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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201313201 · Harris, TX · pop 1,370 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

48201313201 is a census tract in the Oak Manor area of Houston, TX. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,370 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 28% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units822
Renter share47.1%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$70,526

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Oak Manor
Moderate
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#416 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#472 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2,275 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7064, -95.3505 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Manor scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$888 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Oak Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 3132013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 325Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.95×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oak Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Manor

At $888 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of Houston commands. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Harris County average of 49.5%. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Houston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $70,526, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

It tracks the Harris County average of 4.0 closely. 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201313201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201313201?

Census tract 48201313201 in the Oak Manor neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201313201?

Median gross rent is $888/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201313201?

19.5% of residents in tract 48201313201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,370.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201313201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 70th, minority 86th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 48201313201 considered part of Oak Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201313201 fall within Oak Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201313201 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201313201 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201313201 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201313201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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