Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Central City Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201313101 · Harris, TX · pop 2,586 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
48201313101 is a census tract in the Central City area of Houston, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,586. roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Harris County average of 49.5%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 52%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,164
Renter share76.6%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$99,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
27
th percentile
Low
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7062, -95.3820 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central City scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,891 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Central City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 8%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 142Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.39×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central City
Average gross rent is $1,891, 39% above the Houston average. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The voucher gap is 23.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
It sits 1.0 points below the Harris County average of 4.0. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $99,375.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201313101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201313101?
Census tract 48201313101 in the Central City neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201313101?
Median gross rent is $1,891/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201313101?
13.2% of residents in tract 48201313101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,586.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201313101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 2th, minority 58th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 48201313101 considered part of Central City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201313101 fall within Central City (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201313101 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.39× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201313101 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201313101 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 48201313101 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Silverdale
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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Meadowbrook
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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Kashmere Gardens
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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Gulf Palms
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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Sharpstown
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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Ashton Village
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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