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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Central City Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201313901 · Harris, TX · pop 2,903 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 48201313901 covers part of the Central City area of Houston, TX, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,903. 95% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 43% Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units1,891
Renter share95.0%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$63,950

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Central City
Moderate
Within parent city
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#482 of 952 tracts In Houston
Moderate
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#534 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Moderate
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#2,880 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6945, -95.3832 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central City scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,720 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Central City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central City risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 3139013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 731Total filings 2020-21
  • 9.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 7.17×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central City

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $63,950 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

At $1,720 a month, rents run 26% over what the rest of Houston commands. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Cost burden runs 55% here against 49.5% across Harris County.

The voucher gap is 12.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201313901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201313901?

Census tract 48201313901 in the Central City neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201313901?

Median gross rent is $1,720/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201313901?

13.3% of residents in tract 48201313901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,903.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201313901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 0th, minority 79th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 48201313901 considered part of Central City?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201313901 fall within Central City (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201313901 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 7.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201313901 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201313901 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201313901 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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