Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Mayfair Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201313400 · Harris, TX · pop 4,158 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
48201313400 is a census tract in the Mayfair area of Houston, TX. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,158. 52% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,601
Renter share76.0%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate26.5%
Median income$39,382
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6942, -95.3382 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mayfair scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.5% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,208 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Mayfair compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 10%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 818Total filings over 7 yrs
- 16.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.7%Peak (2013)
- 145Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 174% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 681Total filings 2020-21
- 8.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 12.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.72×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mayfair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mayfair
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $39,382, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.1 points above the Harris County average of 4.0. Cost burden runs 55% here against 49.5% across Harris County.
The filing record is not thin: 818 evictions over 7 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.5% against 11.3% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,208, 11% below the Houston average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201313400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201313400?
Census tract 48201313400 in the Mayfair neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201313400?
Median gross rent is $1,208/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201313400?
26.5% of residents in tract 48201313400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,158.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201313400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 61th, minority 97th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 48201313400 considered part of Mayfair?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201313400 fall within Mayfair (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201313400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 818 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201313400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.64% of renter households, peaking at 28.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201313400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201313400 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201313400 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201313400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Cole Creek Manor
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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Greenspoint
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201241502
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Old Sixth Ward
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Huntington Village
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Neuen Manor
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Heather Glen
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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