Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Mayfair Eviction Risk: Moderate

7 census tracts · pop 26,961 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10 · range 4.3–5.1

Mayfair is a 7-tract neighborhood of Houston, TX, population 26,961. The Eviction Risk Score is 5/10, in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 39%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Against a Houston baseline of 32.1%, 63% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

The poverty rate is 28%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10. At $1,136 a month, rents sit 17% under what the rest of Houston commands.

Filings are well documented here: 2,094 across 6 observed tracts. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 28.7% of renter households. That places it #46 of 397 neighborhoods in Houston.

Judgments average 5.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

With little internal variation, 5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

Moderate

7 tracts · population-weighted

Mayfair vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

62.9% +96%

Houston: 32.1%

Average gross rent

$1,136 -17%

Houston: $1,361

Average HH income

$42,883 -32%

Houston: $62,894

Poverty rate

28.4% +44%

Houston: 19.7%

Renter share

52.8% -9%

Houston: 57.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mayfair and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 4.3–5.1

Why Mayfair scores 5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

63% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

53% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Economic stress

28.4% below poverty line · Range 4.3–9.8 across tracts

7.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.2 across tracts

2.5

Risk score comparison

Mayfair vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Mayfair?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.8 points from 4.3 to 5.1. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 4.3

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

7 tracts in Mayfair

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48201311800	5.1	4,616	70%	$1,141
48201332200	5.1	4,616	83%	$1,408
48201332800	5.1	4,433	48%	$886
48201313400	5.1	4,158	55%	$1,208
48201332300	5.1	2,922	68%	$1,177
48201332700	5.1	2,528	67%	$887
48201311701	4.3	3,688	48%	$1,147

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 93

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 97%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 75%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 96%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 70%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mayfair

Aggregated across 6 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

2,094Total filings (sum)
9.32%Avg annual filing rate
28.7%Peak year (2015)
9.51%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

1,645Total filings 2020-21
3.2Avg monthly observed
4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.91×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Mayfair

What is the eviction-risk score for Mayfair?

Mayfair scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Mayfair compare to Houston overall?

Mayfair scores 1.3 points higher than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,136 vs $1,361.

What is the average rent in Mayfair?

Average gross rent in Mayfair is $1,136/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Mayfair residents are renters?

53% of Mayfair households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 26,961 residents.

Is Mayfair a high social-vulnerability area?

Mayfair sits in the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Mayfair have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Mayfair is census tract 48201311800 (score 5.1/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.3 to 5.1, a spread of 0.8 points.

How safe is Mayfair for landlords?

Mayfair carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Mayfair?

Mayfair has 25,744 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (69.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mayfair

4.5 Hamlin's Woodland 8 tracts · pop 27,744 4 University Oaks 3 tracts · pop 7,900 5.1 Foster Place 3 tracts · pop 9,996 4.6 Pecan Park 7 tracts · pop 22,752 3.7 Park Place 5 tracts · pop 20,479 5.1 Brookhaven 3 tracts · pop 14,165

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mayfair.

5 Mahatma Gandhi District 21 tracts · pop 70,070 5 Cole Creek Manor 2 tracts · pop 7,962 5 Crestmont 5 tracts · pop 18,520 5 Kashmere Gardens 6 tracts · pop 15,643 5 Fallbrook 2 tracts · pop 10,170 5 Central Southwest Houston 3 tracts · pop 14,784

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