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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

South Lawn Eviction Risk: Elevated , Houston

Tract 48201313801 · Harris, TX · pop 1,446 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

How risky is the South Lawn neighborhood of Houston for landlords? Census tract 48201313801 scores 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $906 a month against an average household income of $19,821 a year, roughly 55% of income at the averages. Renters make up 73% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 32% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units748
Renter share72.6%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate38.8%
Median income$19,821

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In South Lawn
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#114 of 952 tracts In Houston
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#103 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#395 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6887, -95.3695 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Lawn scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
38.8% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$906 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How South Lawn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Lawn risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 313801Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 486Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.64×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 7 filings (1.47× baseline)2020-02-01: 5 filings (1.54× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-04-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-04-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2022-08-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2022-10-01: 44 filings (12.57× baseline)2022-11-01: 6 filings (1.41× baseline)2022-12-01: 18 filings (5.14× baseline)2023-01-01: 13 filings (2.74× baseline)2023-02-01: 5 filings (1.54× baseline)2023-03-01: 9 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 11 filings (2.32× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (0.84× baseline)2023-06-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2023-07-01: 7 filings (1.27× baseline)2023-08-01: 6 filings (1.71× baseline)2023-09-01: 21 filings (5.25× baseline)2023-10-01: 16 filings (4.57× baseline)2023-11-01: 13 filings (3.06× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2024-01-01: 7 filings (1.47× baseline)2024-02-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2024-03-01: 9 filings (6.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 6 filings (1.26× baseline)2024-05-01: 12 filings (2.53× baseline)2024-06-01: 14 filings (2.33× baseline)2024-07-01: 9 filings (1.64× baseline)2024-08-01: 15 filings (4.29× baseline)2024-09-01: 11 filings (2.75× baseline)2024-10-01: 8 filings (2.29× baseline)2024-11-01: 15 filings (3.53× baseline)2024-12-01: 11 filings (3.14× baseline)2025-01-01: 6 filings (1.26× baseline)2025-02-01: 11 filings (3.38× baseline)2025-03-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-04-01: 6 filings (1.26× baseline)2025-05-01: 9 filings (1.89× baseline)2025-06-01: 7 filings (1.17× baseline)2025-07-01: 13 filings (2.36× baseline)2025-08-01: 8 filings (2.29× baseline)2025-09-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-10-01: 12 filings (3.43× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2025-12-01: 12 filings (3.43× baseline)2026-01-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Lawn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Lawn

What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.64x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201313801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201313801?

Census tract 48201313801 in the South Lawn neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201313801?

Median gross rent is $906/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201313801?

38.8% of residents in tract 48201313801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,446.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201313801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 95th, minority 99th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 48201313801 considered part of South Lawn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201313801 fall within South Lawn (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201313801 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201313801 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201313801 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201313801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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