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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

South Lawn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201313801 · Harris, TX · pop 1,446 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

48201313801 is a census tract in the South Lawn area of Houston, TX. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,446. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 32% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units748
Renter share72.6%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate38.8%
Median income$19,821

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In South Lawn
Very High
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#88 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#129 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6887, -95.3695 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Lawn scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
38.8% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$906 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How South Lawn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Lawn risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 3138013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 486Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.64×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Lawn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Lawn

Annualized rent equals 55% of average household income of $19,821, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.7/10.

The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

At $906 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of Houston commands. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Disability prevalence runs 44.9% against 31.5% nationally. Against Harris County at 49.5%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Adults with no health insurance runs 21.6% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201313801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201313801?

Census tract 48201313801 in the South Lawn neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201313801?

Median gross rent is $906/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201313801?

38.8% of residents in tract 48201313801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,446.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201313801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 95th, minority 99th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 48201313801 considered part of South Lawn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201313801 fall within South Lawn (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201313801 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201313801 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201313801 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201313801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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