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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

South Lawn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201313700 · Harris, TX · pop 2,045 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 5/10, tract 48201313700 in the South Lawn area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,045 residents. 47% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 14% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units921
Renter share44.5%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate21.6%
Median income$47,964

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In South Lawn
Low
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#307 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#342 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#1,025 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6975, -95.3665 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Lawn scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.6% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,195 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How South Lawn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Lawn risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 3137003.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 486Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 19.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.1%Peak (2013)
  • 71Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201313700
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 330Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 6.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Lawn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Lawn

69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Harris County average of 49.5%. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.0 points above the Harris County average of 4.0.

The filing record is not thin: 486 evictions over 7 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,195, 12% below the Houston average.

Filings peaked in 2013 at 26.1% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 19.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201313700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201313700?

Census tract 48201313700 in the South Lawn neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201313700?

Median gross rent is $1,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201313700?

21.6% of residents in tract 48201313700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,045.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201313700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 79th, minority 93th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 48201313700 considered part of South Lawn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201313700 fall within South Lawn (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201313700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 486 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201313700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.95% of renter households, peaking at 26.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201313700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201313700 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201313700 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 48201313700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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