Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Old Sixth Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201410102 · Harris, TX · pop 3,980 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

48201410102 is a census tract in the Old Sixth Ward area of Houston, TX. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,980 residents. This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 42% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units2,471
Renter share88.2%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate26.5%
Median income$62,276

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Old Sixth Ward
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#188 of 952 tracts In Houston
High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#175 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7592, -95.3791 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Sixth Ward scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.5% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,728 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Old Sixth Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Sixth Ward risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 4101023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 667Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.53×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Sixth Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Sixth Ward

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $62,276, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,728, 27% above the Houston average.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 1.1 points above the Harris County average of 4.0. The voucher gap is 13.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201410102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201410102?

Census tract 48201410102 in the Old Sixth Ward neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201410102?

Median gross rent is $1,728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201410102?

26.5% of residents in tract 48201410102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,980.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201410102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 32th, minority 75th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 48201410102 considered part of Old Sixth Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201410102 fall within Old Sixth Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201410102 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 3.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201410102 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201410102 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201410102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 62% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related