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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Timbercrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201312902 · Harris, TX · pop 2,250 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 48201312902 covers part of the Timbercrest area of Houston, TX, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,250. Cost burden runs 83% here against 49.5% across Harris County.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 5% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,275
Renter share31.7%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate31.8%
Median income$36,830

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Timbercrest
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#119 of 952 tracts In Houston
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#124 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7147, -95.3646 · click any tract to drill in

Why Timbercrest scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.8% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,378 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Timbercrest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Timbercrest risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 3129023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 359Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.29×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Timbercrest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Timbercrest

Set annual rent against average income of $36,830 and the ratio lands at 45%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Houston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201312902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201312902?

Census tract 48201312902 in the Timbercrest neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201312902?

Median gross rent is $1,378/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201312902?

31.8% of residents in tract 48201312902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,250.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201312902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 5th, minority 92th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 48201312902 considered part of Timbercrest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201312902 fall within Timbercrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201312902 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.29× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201312902 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201312902 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201312902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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